Pretty Sure
How well do you know what you don't know?
You'll get 5 estimation questions. For each, give a range you're 90% sure contains the true answer.
- Too narrow and you'll miss. That makes you a Bold Guesser.
- Too wide and you'll score almost nothing.
- No idea? Stretch the range wide and lock it in. That's the honest answer, even though it scores little.
- Perfectly calibrated means the truth lands inside your range 9 times out of 10.
5 questions · about 2 minutes
No questions loaded.
points ·
Where your bands landed
Bars show your range on a log scale. The black line is the true answer.